Exactly what the National Board of Review Honours Mean for George Clooney and 'Hugo' in the Academy awards (Hint: Hardly Any)

On Tuesday, we organized the current trends of NY Film Circle Critic Honours resulting in Oscar gold -- which, with respect to the category, might be used somewhat like a barometer. Today, the nation's Board of Review honours were introduced. Prior to the NYFCC progress their date, the NBR honours were the unofficial kickoff to honours season -- but it is possible to correlation between your NBR honours as well as an eventual Oscar? If recent trends should be thought, the reply is, "most likely not." Overall, using the eight corresponding groups between your two organizations going back 5 years, the likelihood of among the those who win taking home an Oscar are 30 %. Place it by doing this: If C-3P0 just rattled and shook off this statistic, National Board of Review Best Actor champion George Clooney may want to bark back at him, "Never let me know the chances!Inch Oh, talking about Clooney, the NBR just loves him. Within the last 5 years, including this season, Clooney has won three occasions. Three! Obviously, he's yet to capture an Academy Award for the best Actor (he's won an Oscar for the best Supporting Actor, which, obviously, can also be the entire year the NBR snubbed Clooney in support of Mike Gyllenhaal). (NBR also loves Clint Eastwood, as evidenced through the inclusion from the significantly-criticized 'J. Edgar' around the NBR ten-best movies of the season list, in addition to Eastwood's win for the best Director last year for 'Invictus' and 'Letters to Iwo Jima's' Best Picture win in 2006.) Really, no acting those who win should get too looking forward to present day win. Again, during the last 5 years, the NBR only has predicted one win in each one of the four acting groups: Christian Bale (2010) and Penelope Cruz (2008) within the supporting groups and Forest Whitaker (2006) and Helen Mirren (2006) within the lead groups. Yes, the NBR Best Acting those who win haven't correlated by having an Oscar champion in 5 years. So, sorry, George Clooney. If there's one category the NBR appears to obtain right (a minimum of comparatively), it is best Modified Script. Three from the last five those who win go onto win the Oscar. With 'The Descendants' winning this season, this minor trend has a high probability of ongoing. And sure, the NBR's history for the best Director is not what anybody would call accurate (two from the last five) among individuals two Oscar those who win is Martin Scorsese (for 'The Departed'), who had been the somewhat surprising champion today for 'Hugo.' The outcomes in the last 5 years of NYFCC those who win and Oscars those who win are below (Those who win of both of them are in bold). Best Picture 2011 NBR: 'Hugo' 2010 NBR: 'The Social Network' Oscars: 'The King's Speech' 2009 NBR: 'Up Within the Air' Oscars: The Hurt Locker 2008 NBR: 'Slumdog Millionaire' Oscars: 'Slumdog Millionaire' 2007 NBR: 'No Country For Old Men' Oscars: 'No Country For Old Men' 2006 NBR: 'Letters from Iwo Jima' Oscars: 'The Departed' Best Director 2011 NBR: Martin Scorsese ('Hugo') 2010 NBR: David Fincher ('The Social Network') Oscars: Tom Hooper ('The King's Speech') 2009 NBR: Clint Eastwood ('Invictus') Oscars: Kathryn Bigelow ('The Hurt Locker') 2008 NBR: David Fincher ('The Curious Situation of Benjamin Button') Oscars: Danny Boyle ('Slumdog Millionaire') 2007 NBR: Joel and Ethan Coen ('No Country For Old Men') Oscars: Joel and Ethan Coen ('No Country For Old Men') 2006 NBR: 'Martin Scorsese' ('The Departed') Oscars: 'Martin Scorsese' ('The Departed') Best Original Script 2011 NBR: '50/50' 2010 NBR: 'Buried Oscars: 'The King's Speech' 2009 NBR: 'A Serious Man' Oscars: 'The Hurt Locker' 2008 NBR: 'Gran Torino' Oscars: Milk 2007 NBR: 'Juno' and 'Lars and also the Real Girl' Oscars: 'Juno' 2006 NBR: 'Stranger Than Fiction' Oscars: 'Little Miss Sunshine' Best Modified Script 2011 NBR: 'The Descendants' 2010 NBR: 'The Social Network' Oscars: 'The Social Network' 2009 NBR: 'Up Within the Air' Oscars: 'Precious' 2008 NBR: 'Slumdog Millionaire' and 'The Curious Situation of Benjamin Button' Oscars: 'Slumdog Millionaire' 2007 NBR: 'No Country For Old Men' Oscars: 'No Country For Old Men' 2006 NBR: 'The Colored Veil' Oscars: The Departed Best Actress 2011 NBR: Tilda Swinton ('We Have to Discuss Kevin') 2010 NBR: Lesley Manville ('Another Year') Oscars: Natalie Portman ('Black Swan') 2009 NBR: Carey Mulligan ('An Education') Oscars: Sandra Bullock ('The Blind Side') 2008 NBR: Hathaway As Catwoman ('Rachel Getting Married') Oscars: Kate Winslet ('The Reader') 2007 NBR: Julie Christie ('Away From Her') Oscars: Marion Cotillard ('La Vie En Rose') 2006 NBR: Helen Mirren ('The Queen') Oscars: Helen Mirren ('The Queen') 2011 NBR: George Clooney ('The Descendants') 2010 NBR: Jesse Eisenberg ('The Social Network') Oscars: Colin Firth ('The King's Speech') 2009 NBR: George Clooney ('Up Within the Air') and Morgan Freeman ('Invictus') Oscars: Shaun Bridges ('Crazy Heart') 2008 NBR: Clint Eastwood ('Gran Torino') Oscars: Sean Penn ('Milk') 2007 NBR: George Clooney ('Michael Clayton') Oscars: Daniel Day-Lewis (You Will See Blood') 2006 NBR: Forest Whitaker ('The Last King of Scotland') Oscars: Forest Whitaker ('The Last King of Scotland') Best Supporting Actress 2011 NBR: Shailene Woodley ('The Descendants') 2010 NBR: Jacki Weaver ('Animal Kingdom') Oscars: Melissa Leo ('The Fighter') 2009 NBR: Anna Kendrick ('Up within the Air') Oscars: Mo'Nique ('Precious') 2008 NBR: Penelope Cruz ('Vicky Christina Barcelona') Oscars: Penelope Cruz ('Vicky Christina Barcelona') 2007 NBR: 'Amy Ryan' ('Gone Baby Gone') Oscars: Tilda Swinton ('Michael Clayton') 2006 NBR: Catherine O'Hara ('For Your Consideration') Oscars: Jennifer Hudson ('Dreamgirls') Best Supporting Actor 2011 NBR:Christopher Plummer ('Beginners') 2010 NBR: Christian Bale ('The Fighter') Oscars: Christian Bale ('The Fighter') 2009 NBR: Woodsy Harrelson ('The Messenger') Oscars: Christoph Waltz ('Inglourious Basterds') 2008 NBR: Josh Brolin ('Milk') Oscars: Heath Ledger ('The Dark Knight') 2007 NBR: Casey Affleck ('The Assignation of Jesse James through the Coward Robert Ford') Oscars: Javier Bardem ('No Country For Old Men') 2006 NBR: Djimon Hounsou ('Blood Diamond') Oscars: Alan Arkin ('Little Miss Sunshine') You are able to contact Mike Ryan on Twitter. 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